Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dereham vs Bowers & Pitsea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bowers & Pitsea in this FA Trophy 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dereham
15%
Draws
21%
Bowers & Pitsea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dereham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dereham have won more games recently than Bowers & Pitsea.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Dereham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bowers & Pitsea, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dereham Clean Sheet 20%
Bowers & Pitsea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dereham Bowers & Pitsea
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.3 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2017 FA Trophy
Dereham vs Bowers & Pitsea
1:4
Oct 7, 2017 FA Trophy
Bowers & Pitsea vs Dereham
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dereham 32 / 100
Bowers & Pitsea 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dereham Bowers & Pitsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dereham scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bowers & Pitsea let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Bowers & Pitsea has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bowers & Pitsea
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dereham

(Home)
02 Sept
Ware
3 : 2
Dereham
24 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Spalding United
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Biggleswade Town
01 Jul
Dereham
0 : 4
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Bowers & Pitsea

(Away)
29 Aug
Waltham Abbey
2 : 0
Bowers & Pitsea
06 Sept
Bowers & Pitsea
0 : 3
Cambridge City
30 Aug
Bowers & Pitsea
1 : 2
Hertford Town
26 Apr
Bowers & Pitsea
0 : 1
Whitehawk
21 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Bowers & Pitsea
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Lancaster -
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Skelmersdale 1
Mossley AFC 3
Bedworth United 1
Gresley 0
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Stratford -
Newcastle Town 3
Soham 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Alvechurch 2
Belper Town 1
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Cambridge City -
Redditch -
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Coalville Town -
Warrington Town -
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Brighouse Town 2
Bamber Bridge 4
Frickley 3
Sheffield FC 0
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Ashton United -
Altrincham -
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Colne 0
Clitheroe 3
Shaw Lane -
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Colwyn Bay 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Prescot Cables 3
Trafford 1
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Stalybridge -
Nantwich -
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Rushall -
Glossop North End 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
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Matlock -
Kettering -
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Lincoln Utd. 1
Leek Town 4
Stamford 3
Loughborough Dynamo 0
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Sutton Coldfield Town -
Ossett Town 3
Goole 0
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Market Drayton 0
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Spalding United -
Witton Albion -
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Workington -
Hednesford -
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Mickleover -
Buxton -
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Hyde 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Stocksbridge 1
Radcliffe 1
Kendal 2
Whitby -
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Marine -
Neots -
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Romulus 0
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 3
Peterborough Sports 0
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Stourbridge -
Barwell -
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Carlton Town -
King’s Lynn -
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Mildenhall -
Stafford -
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St Ives Town -
Farsley -
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Scarborough Athletic 2
South Shields 5
Chesham -
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Barton 1
Hayes & Yeading 3
Cheshunt 3
Herne Bay 0
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Hitchin -
Taunton Town 3
AFC Totton 2
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Merthyr Town -
Barking 3
Chipstead 2
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Beaconsfield Town -
Brentwood 10
South Park 5
VCD Athletic 0
Bedford 1
Arlesey -
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Needham Market -
Hereford -
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Weymouth -
FC Witham Town -
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Tilbury 0
Potters 4
Corinthian-Casuals 2
AFC Dunstable 0
Guernsey FC -
Hertford Town -
Biggleswade Town -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Lewes 4
East Grinstead Town 2
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Dunstable Town -
Stortford -
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Greenwich Borough 0
Hanwell Town 1
Dorchester -
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Basingstoke -
Tonbridge -
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Carshalton 0
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury Vale 4
Molesey 3
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Harlow -
Waltham Abbey 2
Faversham 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Hendon -
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Kings Langley -
Aveley 5
Marlow 3
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Burgess Hill -
Ashford Town 4
Uxbridge 1
Romford 0
Hastings 1
Kingstonian -
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Thurrock -
Maldon & Tiptree 5
Northwood 2
Canvey Island 0
Walton Casuals 3
Kidlington 3
Winchester City 1
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Slough Town -
Sittingbourne 3
Ashford United 0
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Merstham -
Harrow Borough -
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Whyteleafe 0
Haringey Borough 3
Thamesmead 3
Hornchurch 2
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Brightlingsea -
Sudbury 4
Aylesbury United 3
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Metropolitan Police -
Royston Town -
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Enfield Town -
Hythe 1
Kempston 0
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Leatherhead -
Hartley Wintney 1
Slimbridge 0
Barnstaple Town 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Bristol Manor Farm 4
Cinderford Town 1
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Gosport Borough -
Farnborough -
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Bishops Cleeve 0
Larkhall 1
Tiverton -
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Banbury -
Paulton Rovers 3
Salisbury 2
Evesham 2
Cirencester 3
Frome Town -
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Didcot 0
Shortwood 1
Margate -
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Staines -
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Dereham 3
Shoreham 1
Egham Town 7
Billericay -
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Tooting & Mitcham -
Bury Town 5
Ramsgate 3
Phoenix Sports 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Dorking Wanderers -
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Ware -
Leiston -
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Folkestone -
Moneyfields 4
Bideford 2
Fleet Town 2
Yate 3
Cray Wanderers 8
Horsham FC 0
Norwich Utd 3
Grays 4
Thame United 1
Mangotsfield 0
North Leigh 1
Wimborne 3
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Semi-finals
Lancaster 1
Mossley AFC 0
Bedworth United 1
Stratford 2
Newcastle Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 4
Halesowen 0
Grantham Town 1
Alvechurch 2
Cambridge City 0
Redditch 0
Coalville Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Frickley 1
Ashton United 4
Altrincham 3
Clitheroe 0
Shaw Lane 3
Ramsbottom Utd 6
Prescot Cables 1
Stalybridge 5
Nantwich 0
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 3
Matlock 2
Kettering 2
Leek Town 3
Stamford 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Spalding United 1
Witton Albion 0
Workington 4
Hednesford 1
Mickleover 0
Buxton 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Kendal 2
Whitby 1
Marine 3
Neots 3
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 0
Stourbridge 1
Barwell 1
Carlton Town 0
King’s Lynn 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 6
St Ives Town 0
Farsley 4
South Shields 5
Chesham 3
Hayes & Yeading 0
Cheshunt 0
Hitchin 5
Taunton Town 2
Merthyr Town 1
Barking 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 4
Bedford 2
Arlesey 1
Needham Market 3
Hereford 4
Weymouth 1
FC Witham Town 0
Potters 3
Corinthian-Casuals 3
Hertford Town 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Lewes 4
Dunstable Town 1
Stortford 4
Hanwell Town 0
Dorchester 2
Basingstoke 1
Tonbridge 4
Heybridge 5
Aylesbury Vale 2
Harlow 4
Waltham Abbey 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Hendon 3
Kings Langley 1
Aveley 0
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford Town 4
Hastings 3
Kingstonian 7
Thurrock 4
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Walton Casuals 0
Kidlington 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 3
Merstham 1
Harrow Borough 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 3
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Royston Town 2
Enfield Town 0
Hythe 0
Leatherhead 1
Hartley Wintney 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Gosport Borough 1
Farnborough 3
Larkhall 1
Tiverton 4
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 6
Cirencester 2
Frome Town 0
Shortwood 2
Margate 3
Staines 0
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Egham Town 4
Billericay 3
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bury Town 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Dorking Wanderers 5
Ware 0
Leiston 3
Folkestone 2
Moneyfields 1
Yate 0
Cray Wanderers 4
Grays 2
Thame United 5
Wimborne 0
Lowestoft 0
Worthing FC 3
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Final
Lancaster 3
Stratford 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Grantham Town 2
Alvechurch 1
Coalville Town 5
Warrington Town 4
Ashton United 3
Altrincham 4
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Stalybridge 3
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 4
Leek Town 3
Stamford 1
Droylsden 2
Chasetown 1
Workington 3
Hednesford 2
Cleethorpes 3
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 5
Neots 2
Stourbridge 3
Barwell 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 3
South Shields 1
Chesham 3
Hitchin 1
Taunton Town 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 3
Needham Market 1
Hereford 2
Potters 1
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
Lewes 2
Stortford 0
Dorchester 1
Heybridge 2
Harlow 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hendon 3
Burgess Hill 0
Ashford Town 2
Kingstonian 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 0
Metropolitan Police 1
Royston Town 3
Leatherhead 2
Hartley Wintney 3
Gosport Borough 0
Farnborough 6
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 1
Shortwood 2
Margate 2
Egham Town 0
Billericay 6
Bury Town 2
Dorking Wanderers 4
Leiston 1
Moneyfields 2
Cray Wanderers 5
Thame United 1
Worthing FC 0
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