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Deren vs Brera Ilch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Azamov J.
25' Event
Batmunkh E.
33' Event
Funami Y.

AI Match Summary

Deren in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 8-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Deren
20%
Draws
17%
Brera Ilch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Deren have won more games recently than Brera Ilch.
  • Deren are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deren have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Deren Clean Sheet 68%
Brera Ilch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deren Brera Ilch
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 24 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 3.13 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs Brera Ilch
8:1
Mar 22, 2025 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Deren
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 Premier League
Deren vs Brera Ilch
3:2
Jun 15, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Deren
0:1
Apr 16, 2024 Premier League
Deren vs Brera Ilch
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Azamov J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Funami Y.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Brera Ilch Compare

Top Goalscorer Batmunkh E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 95 / 100
Brera Ilch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deren Brera Ilch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deren scored in 85% of their last 39 games.

Brera Ilch let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Deren went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deren

(Home)
04 Oct
Deren
3 : 3
Khovd
01 Oct
Khovd Western
1 : 5
Deren
27 Sept
Deren
5 : 2
Amtat FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
Page 1 of 8

Brera Ilch

(Away)
19 Jul
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Brera Ilch
15 Jul
Brera Ilch
1 : 4
Khovd
09 Jul
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
3 : 5
Brera Ilch
06 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 1
Brera Ilch
01 Jul
Brera Ilch
0 : 1
Hunters
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcons 27 21 4 2 104:19 67
2 Khangarid 27 18 3 6 66:32 57
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 27 15 6 6 65:40 51
4 Deren 27 15 5 7 83:30 50
5 Khoromkhon 27 11 1 15 58:89 34
6 Khovd 27 9 5 13 72:61 32
7 Hunters 27 8 5 14 38:49 29
8 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 7 6 14 54:64 27
9 Central Stallions 27 7 1 19 31:156 22
10 Brera Ilch 27 4 4 19 43:74 16
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)