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Deren vs FC Ulaanbaatar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Deren Logo

Deren

0 - 0
FT
FC Ulaanbaatar Logo

FC Ulaanbaatar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Deren
30%
Draws
38%
FC Ulaanbaatar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Ulaanbaatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • FC Ulaanbaatar have won more games recently than Deren.
  • Deren are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Deren Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deren FC Ulaanbaatar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 3.45 3.76
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs FC Ulaanbaatar
0:0
Jul 6, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Deren
2:3
Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs FC Ulaanbaatar
0:2
May 23, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Deren
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs FC Ulaanbaatar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 38 / 100
FC Ulaanbaatar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deren FC Ulaanbaatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deren scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Deren went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

FC Ulaanbaatar let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS FC Ulaanbaatar
3.13 Goals Scored 3.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Deren

(Home)
04 Oct
Deren
3 : 3
Khovd
01 Oct
Khovd Western
1 : 5
Deren
27 Sept
Deren
5 : 2
Amtat FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
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FC Ulaanbaatar

(Away)
05 Oct
FC Ulaanbaatar
8 : 0
Ulaangom City FC
30 Sept
Khovd
0 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
27 Sept
FC Ulaanbaatar
5 : 3
Hunters
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Stallions 6 6 0 0 27:6 18
2 Deren 6 4 2 0 20:7 14
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 5 4 1 0 26:3 13
4 Khovd 5 2 1 2 15:15 7
5 Hunters 5 2 0 3 14:13 6
6 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
7 Khovd Western 5 1 0 4 11:21 3
8 Amtat FC 5 1 0 4 5:23 3
9 Ulaangom City FC 6 0 0 6 4:26 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)