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Deren vs Khoromkhon

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
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Match Events

13' Event
Ishikawa H.
17' Event
Purevsuren A.
30' Event
Myagmar B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Deren and Khoromkhon finished 12-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Deren
15%
Draws
0%
Khoromkhon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deren come out ahead of Khoromkhon on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Deren taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Deren have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Deren Clean Sheet 20%
Khoromkhon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deren Khoromkhon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 3.17 1.77
Goals Conceded 1 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Khoromkhon
12:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Deren
1:6
Jul 6, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs Khoromkhon
10:0
Apr 17, 2025 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Deren
0:2
Sep 30, 2024 Premier League
Deren vs Khoromkhon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishikawa H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kusano T.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Khoromkhon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 85 / 100
Khoromkhon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deren Khoromkhon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khoromkhon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Deren stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Khoromkhon has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS Khoromkhon
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 5.83
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Deren

(Home)
27 Sept
Deren
5 : 2
Amtat FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
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Khoromkhon

(Away)
04 Jul
Khoromkhon
1 : 3
Khovd Western
01 Jul
Khovd
7 : 1
Khoromkhon
25 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 4
Ulaangom City FC
22 Jun
Hunters
9 : 0
Khoromkhon
17 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 5
Ulaangom City FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)