Sport Picks

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Dergview vs Armagh

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2023/2024
Fri, May 3, 2024
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

107' Event
Mullen C.
111' Event
Lynch P.
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Armagh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dergview
30%
Draws
47%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Armagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dergview's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what Armagh have produced (0.74).
  • Armagh are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Armagh, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dergview Clean Sheet 17%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dergview Armagh
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 0.97 0.74
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Armagh
1:2
Apr 30, 2024 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Dergview
1:1
Jan 21, 2017 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Armagh
4:0
Sep 10, 2016 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Dergview
1:3
Aug 30, 2016 Irish League Cup
Armagh vs Dergview
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dergview Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Armagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Mullen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dergview 28 / 100
Armagh 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dergview Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armagh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armagh let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Dergview found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Armagh registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dergview VS Armagh
0.33 Goals Scored 0.5
2.33 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dergview

(Home)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
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Armagh

(Away)
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0
Armagh
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1
Cliftonville
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dergview 2
Armagh 3