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Dergview vs Knockbreda

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Maxwell D.
49' Event
Nethery E.
78' Event
Irwin A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Dergview advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Dergview
11%
Draws
9%
Knockbreda
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Dergview

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Dergview haven't matched Knockbreda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dergview's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Knockbreda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dergview, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dergview Knockbreda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2024 Irish League Cup
Dergview vs Knockbreda
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Knockbreda
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Dergview
1:2
Nov 25, 2023 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Dergview
2:0
Sep 23, 2023 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Knockbreda
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dergview Compare

Top Goalscorer Maxwell D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nethery E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Knockbreda Compare

Top Goalscorer Irwin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dergview 74 / 100
Knockbreda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dergview Knockbreda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Knockbreda let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Dergview's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Knockbreda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dergview VS Knockbreda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dergview

(Home)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Knockbreda

(Away)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Moyola3
Oxford Sunnyside1
TBD-
Annagh-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
Tobermore3
Queens University4
Ballymacash3
Banbridge0
TBD-
Institute-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Armagh-
Newington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
Warrenpoint2
Lisburn Distillery0
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Rathfriland Rangers2
Coagh Utd1
TBD-
Ballymena-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Dundela-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
Glentoran-
TBD-
Dergview2
Knockbreda1
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Portstewart-
Dollingstown-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
1/16-finals
Moyola2
Annagh4
Carrick Rangers0
Queens University1
Ballymacash0
Institute1
Harland & Wolff1
Larne2
Loughgall2
Armagh3
Newington FC2
Glenavon3
Bangor FC4
Warrenpoint0
Limavady0
Cliftonville2
Rathfriland Rangers3
Ballymena4
Portadown0
Ards1
Dundela0
Linfield3
Glentoran2
Dergview0
Ballyclare2
Crusaders3
Ballinamallard0
Coleraine4
Dungannon5
Portstewart0
Dollingstown5
Newry City1
1/8-finals
Annagh2
Queens University0
Institute0
Larne2
Armagh1
Glenavon0
Bangor FC0
Cliftonville1
Ballymena1
Ards0
Linfield0
Glentoran1
Crusaders2
Coleraine1
Dungannon3
Dollingstown1
Quarter-finals
Annagh0
Larne5
Armagh0
Cliftonville3
Ballymena0
Glentoran2
Crusaders4
Dungannon2
Semi-finals
Larne0
Cliftonville1
Glentoran4
Crusaders2
Final
Cliftonville1
Glentoran0