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Dergview vs Knockbreda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Maxwell D.
49' Event
Nethery E.
78' Event
Irwin A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Dergview advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dergview
15%
Draws
64%
Knockbreda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Knockbreda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Dergview haven't matched Knockbreda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dergview's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Knockbreda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dergview, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dergview Knockbreda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2024 Irish League Cup
Dergview vs Knockbreda
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Knockbreda
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Dergview
1:2
Nov 25, 2023 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Dergview
2:0
Sep 23, 2023 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Knockbreda
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dergview Compare

Top Goalscorer Maxwell D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nethery E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Knockbreda Compare

Top Goalscorer Irwin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dergview 74 / 100
Knockbreda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dergview Knockbreda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dergview Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Knockbreda let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Dergview's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Knockbreda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dergview VS Knockbreda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dergview

(Home)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Knockbreda

(Away)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Moyola 3
Oxford Sunnyside 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Tobermore 3
Queens University 4
Ballymacash 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Institute -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Coagh Utd 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Dergview 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
1/16-finals
Moyola 2
Annagh 4
Carrick Rangers 0
Queens University 1
Ballymacash 0
Institute 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 2
Loughgall 2
Armagh 3
Newington FC 2
Glenavon 3
Bangor FC 4
Warrenpoint 0
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 2
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 0
Ards 1
Dundela 0
Linfield 3
Glentoran 2
Dergview 0
Ballyclare 2
Crusaders 3
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 4
Dungannon 5
Portstewart 0
Dollingstown 5
Newry City 1
1/8-finals
Annagh 2
Queens University 0
Institute 0
Larne 2
Armagh 1
Glenavon 0
Bangor FC 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Linfield 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 1
Dungannon 3
Dollingstown 1
Quarter-finals
Annagh 0
Larne 5
Armagh 0
Cliftonville 3
Ballymena 0
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 4
Dungannon 2
Semi-finals
Larne 0
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 4
Crusaders 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0