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Dergview vs Lurgan Celtic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sproule A.
21' Event
Campbell R.
35' Event
McCorkell D.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2017/2018 game between Dergview and Lurgan Celtic finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dergview.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dergview
15%
Draws
64%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lurgan Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dergview carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lurgan Celtic a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dergview have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dergview Clean Sheet 18%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dergview Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 2 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2018 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Lurgan Celtic
8:0
Mar 17, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Dergview
1:4
Nov 11, 2017 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Lurgan Celtic
3:2
Oct 7, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Dergview
1:3
Nov 26, 2016 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Lurgan Celtic
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dergview Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pomeroy A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lurgan Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dergview 12 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dergview Lurgan Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lurgan Celtic conceded in 96% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Dergview's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Lurgan Celtic's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dergview VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dergview

(Home)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
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Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)