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Derincespor vs Bucaspor 1928

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Akbulut Y.
35' Event
Erdol G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Derincespor
40%
Draws
29%
Bucaspor 1928
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bucaspor 1928 at 1.5 per game, Derincespor at 0.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 19%
Bucaspor 1928 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derincespor Bucaspor 1928
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Bucaspor 1928
1:1
Sep 3, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Bucaspor 1928 vs Derincespor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Akbulut Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bucaspor 1928 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derincespor 32 / 100
Bucaspor 1928 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derincespor Bucaspor 1928

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor 1928 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Derincespor's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Derincespor remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bucaspor 1928
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derincespor

(Home)
29 Apr
Erbaaspor
4 : 1
Derincespor
23 Apr
Derincespor
1 : 3
Pazarspor
14 Apr
Bodrumspor
2 : 0
Derincespor
09 Apr
Derincespor
3 : 1
Dersim Spor
02 Apr
Duzcespor
4 : 2
Derincespor
Page 1 of 6

Bucaspor 1928

(Away)
24 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
0 : 1
Bucaspor 1928
19 Apr
Bucaspor 1928
3 : 3
Batman Petrolspor
12 Apr
Altinordu
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
08 Apr
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
03 Apr
Ankaragucu
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodrumspor34198759:3165
2Erbaaspor341612648:2960
3Silivrispor341610834:2558
4Manisa FK341513659:3758
5Catalca Spor341510942:3355
6Duzcespor341412855:4654
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341581146:3953
8Kirikhanspor3412111136:3947
9Kemerspor 20033411121152:4545
10Yomraspor3410141028:2944
11Bucaspor 19283411101341:4643
12Batman Petrolspor3411101338:3843
13Yesil Bursa341181540:3541
14Dardanelspor341181542:5441
15Pazarspor341161734:4639
16Dersim Spor34961933:5433
17Derincespor345111831:5926
18Kirikkale FK344111928:6123
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)