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Derincespor vs Erbaaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Durtuluk H. A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Derincespor
15%
Draws
57%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Erbaaspor have won more games recently than Derincespor.
  • Model gives Erbaaspor a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 21%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derincespor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Erbaaspor vs Derincespor
4:1
Dec 18, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Erbaaspor
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derincespor 20 / 100
Erbaaspor 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derincespor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbaaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Erbaaspor let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Erbaaspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erbaaspor
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Derincespor

(Home)
29 Apr
Erbaaspor
4 : 1
Derincespor
23 Apr
Derincespor
1 : 3
Pazarspor
14 Apr
Bodrumspor
2 : 0
Derincespor
09 Apr
Derincespor
3 : 1
Dersim Spor
02 Apr
Duzcespor
4 : 2
Derincespor
Page 1 of 6

Erbaaspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodrumspor 34 19 8 7 59:31 65
2 Erbaaspor 34 16 12 6 48:29 60
3 Silivrispor 34 16 10 8 34:25 58
4 Manisa FK 34 15 13 6 59:37 58
5 Catalca Spor 34 15 10 9 42:33 55
6 Duzcespor 34 14 12 8 55:46 54
7 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 15 8 11 46:39 53
8 Kirikhanspor 34 12 11 11 36:39 47
9 Kemerspor 2003 34 11 12 11 52:45 45
10 Yomraspor 34 10 14 10 28:29 44
11 Bucaspor 1928 34 11 10 13 41:46 43
12 Batman Petrolspor 34 11 10 13 38:38 43
13 Yesil Bursa 34 11 8 15 40:35 41
14 Dardanelspor 34 11 8 15 42:54 41
15 Pazarspor 34 11 6 17 34:46 39
16 Dersim Spor 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 Derincespor 34 5 11 18 31:59 26
18 Kirikkale FK 34 4 11 19 28:61 23
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)