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Derio vs Ath Bilbao

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Padilla A. In: Santos M.
Out: Padilla A.
46'
Sub
Rincon H. In: Areso J.
Out: Rincon H.
46'
Sub
Alvarez Y. In: Monreal I.
Out: Alvarez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Derio and Ath Bilbao finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ath Bilbao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Derio
15%
Draws
36%
Ath Bilbao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Derio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Derio Clean Sheet 10%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derio Ath Bilbao
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 2.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Derio vs Ath Bilbao
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Ath Bilbao Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sancet O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.15

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derio 29 / 100
Ath Bilbao 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derio Ath Bilbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Derio scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Ath Bilbao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ath Bilbao's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derio VS Ath Bilbao
0.43 Goals Scored 3
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 100%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derio

(Home)
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Derio
15 Jul
Derio
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao
06 Jun
Leioa
1 : 0
Derio
31 May
Derio
0 : 1
Leioa
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
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Ath Bilbao

(Away)
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3
Sevilla
21 Aug
Zaragoza
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Ath Bilbao
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
01 Aug
Burgos CF
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao
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