Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Derio in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Derio lately — more wins on the board than Beasain.
- Model gives Derio a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derio | Beasain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derio Compare
Beasain Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derio scored in 74% of their last 34 games.
Defensive concern: Beasain conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Derio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Derio
(Home)Beasain
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 6 | Touring KE | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 10 | SCD Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | SD Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Sodupe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:12 | 1 |
