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Derio vs Real Sociedad C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Derio Logo

Derio

0 - 0
FT
Real Sociedad C Logo

Real Sociedad C

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Arana P.
43'
Arana P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Derio
30%
Draws
31%
Real Sociedad C
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Real Sociedad C average 1.66 goals a game right now, well clear of Derio's 1.45.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Derio have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Derio Clean Sheet 68%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derio Real Sociedad C
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Derio vs Real Sociedad C
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Derio vs Real Sociedad C
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Derio
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derio 41 / 100
Real Sociedad C 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derio Real Sociedad C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derio found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Derio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Real Sociedad C conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derio VS Real Sociedad C
0.63 Goals Scored 1.86
1 Goals Conceded 1.14
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Derio

(Home)
04 Oct
Derio
2 : 0
Beasain
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2
Derio
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
16 Sept
Derio
3 : 5
Salamanca CF UDS
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
Page 1 of 7

Real Sociedad C

(Away)
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0
Real Sociedad C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)