Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018

Derriaghy

3 - 1

Bourneview Mill

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Derriaghy advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Derriaghy

15%

Draws

30%

Bourneview Mill

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derriaghy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Derriaghy come out ahead of Bourneview Mill on wins alone.
Derriaghy are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Derriaghy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Derriaghy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%

Derriaghy Clean Sheet 10%

Bourneview Mill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derriaghy	Bourneview Mill
Matches Played	22	3
Wins	11	0
Draws	1	1
Losses	10	2
Goals Scored	2	1.67
Goals Conceded	2	2.67
Expected Goals (xG)	2.40	1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2017 Irish Cup

Derriaghy vs Bourneview Mill

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derriaghy 34 / 100

Bourneview Mill 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derriaghy Bourneview Mill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derriaghy's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Bourneview Mill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Derriaghy stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derriaghy VS Bourneview Mill

2.13 Goals Scored 1.67

2.25 Goals Conceded 2.67

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Derriaghy

(Home)

25 Nov

Queens University

3 : 2

Derriaghy

17 Aug

Annagh

4 : 1

Derriaghy

18 Aug

Strabane Athletic

2 : 1

Derriaghy

30 Sept

Derriaghy

1 : 2

Shankill

19 Aug

Derriaghy

3 : 1

Bourneview Mill

Page 1 of 5

Bourneview Mill

(Away)

07 Jul

Bourneview Mill

2 : 2

Portadown

17 Aug

Maiden City

3 : 2

Bourneview Mill

19 Aug

Derriaghy

3 : 1

Bourneview Mill

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry -

TBD -

St. Marys 1

Bryansburn 3

Cookstown Youth -

TBD -

Bloomfield 1

Craigavon City 3

Newtowne FC 3

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

TBD -

Desertmartin -

Newington FC -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation -

TBD -

Seapatrick 1

Ballynure Old Boys 4

Islandmagee 4

Fivemiletown 1

Iveagh Utd 0

Ards Rangers 9

Laurelvale 6

Broomhedge 1

Bangor Old Boys 2

Tullyvallen Rangers 3

Downshire Y.M. 3

Malachians 2

TBD -

Moyola -

Immaculata 3

Abbey Villa 0

Seagoe 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 12

Rosario Youth -

Ballynahinch United -

TBD -

Brantwood -

Valley Rangers 5

Oxford Sunnyside 0

Magherafelt -

Colin Valley -

Donegal -

TBD -

Silverwood 2

Crumlin United 3

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela -

TBD -

Richhill 2

Ardstraw 10

Windmill 2

St. James' Swifts 1

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

Rathfriland Rangers 8

Barn 3

Dunmurry Y.M. 0

Orangefield Old Boys' 3

Strabane Athletic -

TBD -

Newcastle -

Killyleagh Youth 5

Newbuildings 1

Moneyslane FC 1

Sirocco 4

Dunmurry Rec 4

Dromore Amateurs 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Banbridge -

TBD -

Cookstown RBL 1

Dromara 2

Dungiven 3

Suffolk 2

TBD -

Queens University -

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 3

Dollingstown 1

Groomsport 1

Lurgan Town Boys 3

Lisburn Rangers 5

Rathfern Rangers 4

Saintfield 2

Tandragee 4

Portaferry Rovers 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 1

TBD -

Mossley FC -

Dunloy 3

Banbridge Rangers 1

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 2

Bangor FC 0

St Luke's 1

Rosemount Rec 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Comber Rec 2

TBD -

U. U. Jordanstown -

St. Patricks Young 2

Lower Maze 1

TBD -

Wellington Rec -

Markethill 2

Grove 1

TBD -

Annagh -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 4

Ballymacash 3

Bourneview Mill 1

Derriaghy 3

Drumaness 3

Crewe 2

Chimney 2

Hanover 8

Armagh -

TBD -

Ballymoney 1

Coagh Utd 6

Oxford Stars 4

Trojans 3

Shorts 1

Crumlin Star 9

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/128-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 4

Bryansburn 3

Cookstown Youth 6

Craigavon City 7

Newtowne FC 4

Desertmartin 2

Newington FC 0

Lisburn Distillery 3

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 6

Ballynure Old Boys 3

Islandmagee 1

Ards Rangers 2

Laurelvale 5

Tullyvallen Rangers 2

Downshire Y.M. 1

Moyola 10

Immaculata 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Rosario Youth 4

Brantwood 0

Valley Rangers 4

Colin Valley 1

Donegal 0

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 6

Ardstraw 2

Windmill 0

Sport & Leisure 2

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Orangefield Old Boys' 1

Strabane Athletic 1

Newcastle 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Sirocco 0

Dunmurry Rec 0

Tobermore 7

Banbridge 1

Dromara 0

Dungiven 2

Queens University 7

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 7

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Lisburn Rangers 2

Tandragee 3

Portaferry Rovers 2

Mossley FC 0

Dunloy 1

Portstewart 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 3

Rosemount Rec 0

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

U. U. Jordanstown 2

St. Patricks Young 3

Wellington Rec 2

Markethill 2

Annagh 4

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 2

Derriaghy 1

Drumaness 0

Hanover 2

Armagh 2

Coagh Utd 0

Oxford Stars 0

Crumlin Star 5

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/64-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 4

Craigavon City 1

Newtowne FC 0

Lisburn Distillery 2

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 3

Ards Rangers 2

Laurelvale 0

Moyola 5

Immaculata 3

Brantwood 1

Valley Rangers 0

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 2

Sport & Leisure 0

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Newcastle 3

Killyleagh Youth 3

Tobermore 1

Banbridge 1

Queens University 2

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 2

Tandragee 1

Portaferry Rovers 1

Portstewart 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 11

U. U. Jordanstown 0

St. Patricks Young 2

Annagh 5

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 3

Hanover 2

Armagh 1

Crumlin Star 2

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/32-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 1

Lisburn Distillery 3

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 0

Moyola 2

Immaculata 4

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 5

Newcastle 0

Killyleagh Youth 1

Queens University 3

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 2

Portstewart 1

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 2

Annagh 1

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 0

Crumlin Star 4

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/16-finals

Coleraine 7

Lisburn Distillery 0

Knockbreda 0

Institute 2

Ballyclare 2

Portadown 1

Lurgan Celtic 1

Glentoran 2

Ballymena 4

Moyola 0

Immaculata 2

Ballinamallard 4

Dundela 1

Queens University 0

Dergview 0

Larne 3

Cliftonville 4

Warrenpoint 3

Maiden City 0

Crusaders 2

Newry City 2

Harland & Wolff 0

Glebe 0

Linfield 5

Glenavon 3

Carrick Rangers 1

Limavady 0

Dungannon 4

Ards 4

Crumlin Star 1

PSNI 1

Loughgall 4

1/8-finals

Coleraine 4

Institute 0

Ballyclare 0

Glentoran 4

Ballymena 3

Ballinamallard 2

Dundela 1

Larne 6

Cliftonville 4

Crusaders 1

Newry City 0

Linfield 1

Glenavon 3

Dungannon 0

Ards 1

Loughgall 2

Quarter-finals

Coleraine 1

Glentoran 0

Ballymena 1

Larne 2

Cliftonville 1

Linfield 0

Glenavon 1

Loughgall 2

Semi-finals

Coleraine 3

Larne 1

Cliftonville 4

Loughgall 1

Final

Coleraine 3

Cliftonville 1

Derriaghy vs Bourneview Mill

Northern Ireland

Derriaghy

Bourneview Mill

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Derriaghy

Bourneview Mill

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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