Sport Picks
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 
Match Events
2'
2'
Chapman E.
Assist: Duffy M.
6'
6'
McClean P.
16'
16'
Duffy M.
Assist: Burns D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Shamrock Rovers lately — more wins on the board than Derry City.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Derry City taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derry City | Shamrock Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
3:3
Jun 22, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
1:0
Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Super Cup
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derry City Compare
Top Goalscorer Chapman E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Duffy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Shamrock Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Noonan M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Burke G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derry City 59 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derry City Shamrock Rovers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Derry City scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Shamrock Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Derry City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Derry City VS Shamrock Rovers
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Derry City
(Home) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1 Rijeka
Page 1 of 3
Shamrock Rovers
(Away) 08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 Drogheda
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0 Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2 Shamrock Rovers
13 Aug
KF Egnatia
5 : 1 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 52:32 | 62 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57:38 | 59 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50:55 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42:48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39:54 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
