Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Crusaders W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women 2025 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Doherty C.
45' Event
Doherty C.
52' Event
McDaid M.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership Women 2025 game between Derry City W and Crusaders W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derry City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Derry City W
15%
Draws
49%
Crusaders W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Derry City W have managed 1.48 goals a game lately — Crusaders W are scoring more at 1.66.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Derry City W taking it.
  • Regular Premiership Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Crusaders W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.21 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Crusaders W
3:3
May 8, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
0:3
Sep 5, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Crusaders W
3:1
May 9, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Doherty C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader O’Connor-Farren T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Crusaders W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDaid M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 83 / 100
Crusaders W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Crusaders W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Crusaders W conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Derry City W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Crusaders W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Crusaders W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
14 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 2
Linfield W
09 Aug
Derry City W
0 : 3
Lisburn Rangers W
31 Jul
Derry City W
0 : 1
Glentoran W
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Crusaders W

(Away)
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Linfield W
7 : 1
Crusaders W
14 Aug
Crusaders W
1 : 1
Lisburn Ladies W
07 Aug
Glentoran W
5 : 1
Crusaders W
31 Jul
Cliftonville W
9 : 0
Crusaders W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Glentoran W 14 13 0 1 57:10 39
2 Cliftonville W 14 12 1 1 42:6 37
3 Linfield W 14 10 1 3 59:19 31
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 7 0 7 24:26 21
5 Crusaders W 14 6 0 8 24:37 18
6 Derry City W 14 4 0 10 17:35 12
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 1 12 5:44 4
8 Larne W 14 1 1 12 10:61 4
Promotion - Premiership Women 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women 2025 (Relegation Group)