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Derry City W vs Larne W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derry City W host Larne W in the Premiership Women. Derry City W are expected to control this from the start. Larne W have shipped 3.63 goals a game lately, while Derry City W have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Derry City W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 1:6. Model xG sits at 2.75 vs 1.44, favoring Derry City W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Derry City W
6%
Draws
4%
Larne W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derry City W come out ahead of Larne W on wins alone.
  • Derry City W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 16%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Larne W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 1
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Derry City W
1:6
Oct 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
1:4
May 23, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Derry City W
0:4
Sep 20, 2024 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Derry City W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 84 / 100
Larne W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Larne W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne W let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Larne W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Derry City W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Larne W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield W751138:716
2Glentoran W651026:516
3Cliftonville W650126:715
4Lisburn Rangers W740314:1612
5Crusaders W832317:2711
6Derry City W821515:237
7Lisburn Ladies W81164:294
8Larne W80265:312