Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Larne W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Doherty C.
23' Event
Doherty C.
32' Event
Mcintyre R.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership Women game between Derry City W and Larne W finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derry City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Derry City W
15%
Draws
0%
Larne W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derry City W come out ahead of Larne W on wins alone.
  • Derry City W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Derry City W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 68%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Larne W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 1
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.59 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.34 4.24
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
5:1
Jul 24, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
7:0
May 29, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Derry City W
1:6
Oct 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Doherty C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mcintyre R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Larne W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 95 / 100
Larne W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Larne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Larne W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Derry City W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Larne W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 4.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Derry City W
3 : 3
Lisburn Ladies W
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
14 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 2
Linfield W
Page 1 of 6

Larne W

(Away)
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 2
Larne W
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 1
Larne W
14 Aug
Larne W
1 : 7
Glentoran W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cliftonville W 14 13 0 1 65:10 39
2 Glentoran W 14 11 1 2 55:14 34
3 Linfield W 14 9 1 4 60:22 28
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 8 1 5 35:30 25
5 Crusaders W 14 4 4 6 25:51 16
6 Derry City W 14 4 1 9 24:33 13
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 2 11 6:54 5
8 Larne W 14 0 2 12 7:63 2
Promotion - Premiership Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women (Relegation Group)