Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Linfield W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
McLaren R.
51' Event
McKimm G.
54' Event
Scott C.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership Women game between Derry City W and Linfield W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linfield W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Derry City W
20%
Draws
33%
Linfield W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Linfield W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Linfield W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
Linfield W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Linfield W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 20
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.63 3.71
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Linfield W
1:2
May 1, 2026 Premiership Women
Linfield W vs Derry City W
5:0
Aug 8, 2025 Premiership Women
Linfield W vs Derry City W
5:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Linfield W
0:4
Sep 27, 2024 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Linfield W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Linfield W Compare

Top Goalscorer McLaren R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKimm G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 30 / 100
Linfield W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Linfield W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Derry City W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Linfield W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Solid form: Derry City W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Linfield W
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
04 Oct
Crusaders W
2 : 3
Derry City W
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Derry City W
3 : 3
Lisburn Ladies W
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
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Linfield W

(Away)
04 Oct
Lisburn Rangers W
2 : 3
Linfield W
25 Sept
Linfield W
1 : 1
Cliftonville W
20 Sept
Glentoran W
2 : 3
Linfield W
07 Sept
Glentoran W
4 : 2
Linfield W
04 Sept
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 2
Linfield W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cliftonville W 14 13 0 1 65:10 39
2 Glentoran W 14 11 1 2 55:14 34
3 Linfield W 14 9 1 4 60:22 28
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 8 1 5 35:30 25
5 Crusaders W 14 4 4 6 25:51 16
6 Derry City W 14 4 1 9 24:33 13
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 2 11 6:54 5
8 Larne W 14 0 2 12 7:63 2
Promotion - Premiership Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women (Relegation Group)