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Derthona FbC vs Acqui US

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Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 game between Derthona FbC and Acqui US finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derthona FbC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Derthona FbC
30%
Draws
19%
Acqui US
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Derthona FbC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Derthona FbC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Derthona FbC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 20%
Acqui US Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Acqui US
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Acqui US
3:2
Sep 16, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Acqui US vs Derthona FbC
0:3
Feb 22, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Acqui US
1:2
Oct 12, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Acqui US vs Derthona FbC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 85 / 100
Acqui US 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Acqui US

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Derthona FbC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Derthona FbC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Acqui US conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0
Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
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Acqui US

(Away)
08 May
Acqui US
0 : 4
Pinerolo
01 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Acqui US
24 Apr
Acqui US
1 : 0
Castellazzo
17 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Acqui US
10 Apr
Acqui US
0 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)