Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derthona FbC vs Alba

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Robotti G.
55' Event
Toniato M.
60' Event
Robotti G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Derthona FbC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Derthona FbC
30%
Draws
33%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Alba haven't matched Derthona FbC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Derthona FbC a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Derthona FbC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Derthona FbC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Derthona FbC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 68%
Alba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Alba
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Alba
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Derthona FbC
0:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Alba
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Top Goalscorer Robotti G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toniato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Alba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 50 / 100
Alba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Derthona FbC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Derthona FbC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3
Alessandria
27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0
Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 8

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Derthona FbC 3
Alba 0
AC Chieri 0
Pinerolo 0