Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A

Derthona FbC

3 - 0

Club Milano

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Turco N.

36'

Turco N.

(Penalty)

54'

Patti F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derthona FbC in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derthona FbC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Derthona FbC

Draws

90%

Club Milano

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Club Milano have won more games recently than Derthona FbC.
Win probability leans Club Milano's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 11%

Club Milano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derthona FbC	Club Milano
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	13
Draws	7	4
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.75	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Derthona FbC vs Club Milano

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A

Club Milano vs Derthona FbC

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Top Goalscorer Turco N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Patti F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Club Milano Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 10 / 100

Club Milano 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derthona FbC Club Milano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Derthona FbC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Club Milano has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Derthona FbC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS Club Milano

0.75 Goals Scored 2.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	34	24	6	4	69:24	78
2	Ligorna	34	21	9	4	64:26	72
3	AS Biellese	34	16	9	9	48:29	57
4	Varese FC	34	16	8	10	43:43	56
5	Chisola	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
6	Sestri Levante	34	15	9	10	54:34	54
7	Sanremese	34	13	10	11	37:30	49
8	Valenzana	34	12	9	13	33:48	45
9	Celle Varazze	34	12	8	14	41:47	44
10	Saluzzo	34	11	10	13	48:44	43
11	Club Milano	34	12	6	16	43:49	42
12	Imperia Calcio	34	10	11	13	36:44	41
13	Cairese	34	9	13	12	29:34	40
14	Derthona FbC	34	11	7	16	36:46	40
15	Gozzano	34	9	12	13	37:42	39
16	Asti Calcio	34	8	11	15	32:42	35
17	Lavagnese	34	5	12	17	32:52	27
18	NovaRomentin	34	6	3	25	26:82	16