Sport Picks
Derthona FbC vs Imperia Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group A 
Match Events
27'
27'
Lovaglio S.
75'
75'
Welbeck N.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A game between Derthona FbC and Imperia Calcio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derthona FbC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Imperia Calcio's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Derthona FbC have produced (0.9).
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Derthona FbC taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 68%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derthona FbC | Imperia Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Imperia Calcio
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Imperia Calcio
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Derthona FbC
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Imperia Calcio
4:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Derthona FbC
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derthona FbC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lovaglio S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Imperia Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Welbeck N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derthona FbC 59 / 100
Imperia Calcio 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derthona FbC Imperia Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derthona FbC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Imperia Calcio has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Derthona FbC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derthona FbC VS Imperia Calcio
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Derthona FbC
(Home) 04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3 Alessandria
27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0 Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0 Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3 Alessandria
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0 Millesimo
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2 Gozzano
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Imperia Calcio
(Away) 04 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0 Fezzanese
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Biellese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 4 | Ligorna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 5 | Asti Calcio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Chisola | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Imperia Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | GSD Lascaris | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sanremese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Borgosesia Calcio | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Bra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
