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Stadium Background

Derthona FbC vs Millesimo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derthona FbC in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derthona FbC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Derthona FbC
15%
Draws
36%
Millesimo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Derthona FbC have won more games recently than Millesimo.
  • Model gives Derthona FbC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 19%
Millesimo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Millesimo
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 11 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Millesimo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 42 / 100
Millesimo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Millesimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millesimo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 4 matches.

Derthona FbC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Derthona FbC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS Millesimo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
Page 1 of 6

Millesimo

(Away)
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1
Valenzana
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derthona FbC 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Saluzzo 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
3 AS Biellese 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 GSD Lascaris 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Fezzanese 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Asti Calcio 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Millesimo 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Gozzano 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Ligorna 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Chisola 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
14 Sestri Levante 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
15 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Borgosesia Calcio 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
17 Valenzana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)