Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Matheu P.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Turco N.
56' Event
Valenti D.

AI Match Summary

Saluzzo in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saluzzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Derthona FbC
20%
Draws
38%
Saluzzo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derthona FbC lately — more wins on the board than Saluzzo.
  • Derthona FbC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 18%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Saluzzo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Derthona FbC
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
1:3
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Derthona FbC
2:1
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Top Goalscorer Turco N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivoira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 41 / 100
Saluzzo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Saluzzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saluzzo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Derthona FbC scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Derthona FbC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS Saluzzo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Derthona FbC
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
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Saluzzo

(Away)
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Saluzzo
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)