Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019

Axys Zola

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Desenzano Calvina play Axys Zola in the Serie D - Group D 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Desenzano Calvina averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.55 conceded. Axys Zola averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Desenzano Calvina won 1, Axys Zola won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 27, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Desenzano Calvina and 0.75 for Axys Zola. This points to a Desenzano Calvina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Desenzano Calvina

25%

Draws

25%

Axys Zola

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Desenzano Calvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Desenzano Calvina picked up more points recently compared to Axys Zola.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 27%

Axys Zola Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Axys Zola
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	20	10
Draws	8	7
Losses	3	13
Goals Scored	1.58	1.23
Goals Conceded	0.55	1.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Serie D - Group D

Desenzano Calvina vs Axys Zola

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Oct 7, 2018 Serie D - Group D

Axys Zola vs Desenzano Calvina

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desenzano Calvina 50 / 100

Axys Zola 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Desenzano Calvina Axys Zola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Desenzano Calvina or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Desenzano Calvina attacking → ← attacking Axys Zola

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desenzano Calvina scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Axys Zola let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Desenzano Calvina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Axys Zola lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 37

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pergolettese	34	22	7	5	62:32	73
2	Modena	34	21	10	3	60:27	73
3	Reggiana	34	19	9	6	57:28	66
4	Fanfulla	34	16	9	9	58:52	57
5	Fiorenzuola	34	16	8	10	52:31	56
6	Crema	34	12	13	9	52:50	49
7	Adrense	34	12	11	11	45:45	47
8	Vigor Carpaneto	34	11	14	9	42:35	47
9	Axys Zola	34	11	8	15	40:45	41
10	Ciliverghe Mazzano	34	11	8	15	38:48	41
11	Lentigione	34	8	15	11	34:36	39
12	Desenzano Calvina	34	8	15	11	40:51	39
13	Pavia	34	9	9	16	32:46	36
14	Mezzolara	34	7	14	13	39:50	35
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	10	16	31:50	34
16	San Marino Calcio	34	5	16	13	24:32	31
17	USD Classe 1974	34	6	12	16	25:51	30
18	OltrepoVoghera	34	3	14	17	22:44	23