Sport Picks
Desenzano Calvina vs Crema Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desenzano Calvina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Desenzano Calvina lately — more wins on the board than Crema.
- Model gives Desenzano Calvina a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Desenzano Calvina have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 68%
Crema Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Desenzano Calvina vs Crema
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Desenzano Calvina
0:2
Apr 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Desenzano Calvina
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Crema
2:0
Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Desenzano Calvina
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Desenzano Calvina 95 / 100
Crema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Desenzano Calvina Crema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Desenzano Calvina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Desenzano Calvina scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Crema has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Desenzano Calvina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Crema lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Desenzano Calvina VS Crema
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Desenzano Calvina
(Home) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
31 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Trento
09 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Giana Erminio
02 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 1 Parma U20
Page 1 of 3
Crema
(Away) 04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2 Varese FC
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0 Crema
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3 Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0 Crema
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0 Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Crema
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1 Crema
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
