Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026

Desenzano Calvina

0 - 1

Grosseto

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Benedetti L.

87'

Marcu A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grosseto in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grosseto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Desenzano Calvina

35%

Draws

40%

Grosseto

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Desenzano Calvina have won more games recently than Grosseto.
Win probability leans Grosseto's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 20%

Grosseto Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Grosseto
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	17	12
Draws	10	9
Losses	4	7
Goals Scored	1.26	1.43
Goals Conceded	0.58	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Desenzano Calvina vs Grosseto

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desenzano Calvina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetti L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desenzano Calvina 28 / 100

Grosseto 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Desenzano Calvina Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Desenzano Calvina scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Grosseto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Desenzano Calvina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Desenzano Calvina VS Grosseto

0.75 Goals Scored 1.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

38% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Desenzano Calvina

(Home)

26 Sept

Desenzano Calvina

0 : 0

Juventus U23

21 Sept

Treviso

0 : 0

Desenzano Calvina

17 Sept

Desenzano Calvina

1 : 3

Lecco

13 Sept

Arzignano

1 : 2

Desenzano Calvina

06 Sept

Union Brescia

1 : 0

Desenzano Calvina

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Grosseto

(Away)

26 Sept

Pineto

0 : 4

Grosseto

20 Sept

Grosseto

2 : 0

Perugia

16 Sept

Grosseto

2 : 2

Campobasso

12 Sept

Pianese

0 : 0

Grosseto

09 Sept

Grosseto

1 : 4

Latina

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