Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desenzano Calvina vs Olginatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Aliu G.
37' Event
Vigano M.
76' Event
Giani N.

AI Match Summary

Desenzano Calvina in this Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desenzano Calvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Desenzano Calvina
35%
Draws
40%
Olginatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Olginatese haven't matched Desenzano Calvina's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 20%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desenzano Calvina Olginatese
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.16 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Olginatese
2:1
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Desenzano Calvina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desenzano Calvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliu G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giani N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Olginatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Vigano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desenzano Calvina 32 / 100
Olginatese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desenzano Calvina Olginatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olginatese conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Desenzano Calvina's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Desenzano Calvina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Desenzano Calvina VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desenzano Calvina

(Home)
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0
Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
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Olginatese

(Away)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)