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Desenzano Calvina vs Savignanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Valenti D.
66' Event
Mauri M.
69' Event
Delcarro A.

AI Match Summary

Desenzano Calvina in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desenzano Calvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Desenzano Calvina
35%
Draws
25%
Savignanese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Desenzano Calvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Desenzano Calvina have won more games recently than Savignanese.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Desenzano Calvina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 20%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desenzano Calvina Savignanese
Matches Played 40 21
Wins 23 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.32 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Desenzano Calvina vs Savignanese
3:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Desenzano Calvina
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desenzano Calvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Savignanese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desenzano Calvina 42 / 100
Savignanese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desenzano Calvina Savignanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Desenzano Calvina's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Savignanese let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Recent resilience: Desenzano Calvina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desenzano Calvina VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desenzano Calvina

(Home)
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0
Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
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Savignanese

(Away)
23 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 1
Sammaurese
16 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0
Savignanese
09 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 0
Breno
02 Feb
Ciliverghe Mazzano
3 : 2
Savignanese
26 Jan
Savignanese
0 : 0
Franciacorta
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