Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desna vs FC Poltava

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2018/2019 Chernihiv Stadium
Sat, Nov 10, 2018
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desna host FC Poltava in the Premier League 2018/2019. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Desna have averaged 1.25 scored and 1 conceded recently, against FC Poltava's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Desna have won 1 to FC Poltava's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 10, 2018, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.00) back FC Poltava to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Desna
20%
Draws
38%
FC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Desna's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what FC Poltava have produced (0).
  • Model gives Desna a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Desna Clean Sheet 20%
FC Poltava Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desna FC Poltava
Matches Played 16 8
Wins 4 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2018 Premier League
Desna vs FC Poltava
0:0
Aug 11, 2018 Premier League
FC Poltava vs Desna
0:0
Oct 30, 2017 Persha Liga
Desna vs FC Poltava
1:2
Jul 22, 2017 Persha Liga
FC Poltava vs Desna
2:1
May 21, 2017 Persha Liga
FC Poltava vs Desna
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desna 42 / 100
FC Poltava 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desna FC Poltava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desna found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (16 games).

Desna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Poltava has conceded goals in 50% of their last 8 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Desna VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar22183152:957
2Dynamo Kyiv22162440:1150
3Oleksandriya22125531:1941
4Zorya2288628:2032
5Lviv2279619:2030
6FC Mariupol2286824:3330
7Vorskla Poltava22921118:2829
8Desna22841023:2428
9Karpaty (inactive)22561126:3721
10Olimpik Donetsk22481025:3320
11Ch. Odesa22441412:3416
12Arsenal Kiev22331612:4212