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Desportiva Alianca U20 vs Guarani de Paripueira U20

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Alianca U20 in this Alagoano U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Alianca U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Desportiva Alianca U20
44%
Draws
20%
Guarani de Paripueira U20
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani de Paripueira U20 have won more games recently than Desportiva Alianca U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Desportiva Alianca U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Guarani de Paripueira U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Alianca U20 Guarani de Paripueira U20
Matches Played 24 20
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2025 Alagoano U20
Desportiva Alianca U20 vs Guarani de Paripueira U20
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Alagoano U20
Guarani de Paripueira U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20
3:3
Jun 2, 2024 Alagoano U20
Desportiva Alianca U20 vs Guarani de Paripueira U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Alianca U20 34 / 100
Guarani de Paripueira U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Alianca U20 Guarani de Paripueira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Desportiva Alianca U20 scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Desportiva Alianca U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Alianca U20 VS Guarani de Paripueira U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Alianca U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Desportiva Alianca U20
0 : 2
Murici U20
10 Aug
CSA U20
3 : 0
Desportiva Alianca U20
04 Aug
Desportiva Alianca U20
0 : 1
ASA U20
28 Jul
Desportiva Alianca U20
0 : 1
Guarani de Paripueira U20
19 Jul
Guarani de Paripueira U20
3 : 3
Desportiva Alianca U20
Page 1 of 5

Guarani de Paripueira U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Guarani de Paripueira U20
1 : 0
Canoense U20
10 Aug
ASA U20
4 : 1
Guarani de Paripueira U20
02 Aug
Guarani de Paripueira U20
0 : 3
CSA U20
28 Jul
Desportiva Alianca U20
0 : 1
Guarani de Paripueira U20
19 Jul
Guarani de Paripueira U20
3 : 3
Desportiva Alianca U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA U20660016:218
2Guarani de Paripueira U20640220:1112
3Desportiva Alianca U20640214:712
4Grota do Facao U20640212:512
5Rio Largo U2061148:74
6Ubertec U2061147:204
7Satuba U2060063:280
Promotion - Alagoano U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CRB U20660032:318
2Coruripe U20641116:413
3Guarany Alagoano U2063128:810
4Sao Domingos U2062137:167
5UNEC U2062138:197
6Santa Cruz AL U2061056:123
7Ponte Preta AL U2060241:162
Promotion - Alagoano U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zumbi U20431017:010
2Azzurra U20431013:210
3Independente Atalaia U2042025:116
4Murici U2041036:153
5DZM Passo U2000000:00
6Lajense U2040043:160
Promotion - Alagoano U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liga do Sertao U20641111:413
2SC Penedense U2063309:512
3Clube Sociedade Esportiva U2062408:510
4ASA U2062227:68
5Cruzeiro Arapiraca U2062226:78
6Dimensao Capela U2061143:64
7CAP Paulo Jacinto U2060153:141
Promotion - Alagoano U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jacioba U20651017:516
2Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U20650117:515
3Canoense U2063126:810
4Gaviao Izidorense U2062136:107
5Flamengo do Ipiranga U2062049:146
6Talisma U2061149:134
7Sao Sebastiao U2061054:133
Promotion - Alagoano U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams