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Desportiva Aracaju vs America de Pedrinhas

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Sergipano 2
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 game between Desportiva Aracaju and America de Pedrinhas finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Aracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Desportiva Aracaju
39%
Draws
31%
America de Pedrinhas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 20%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju America de Pedrinhas
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs America de Pedrinhas
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju 31 / 100
America de Pedrinhas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju America de Pedrinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Desportiva Aracaju scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

America de Pedrinhas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

America de Pedrinhas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Aracaju VS America de Pedrinhas
1.63 Goals Scored 0.4
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Aracaju

(Home)
14 Feb
Falcon
2 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
11 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
1 : 3
Lagarto
08 Feb
Guarany SE
2 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
04 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 2
Sergipe
31 Jan
America de Propria
0 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 6

America de Pedrinhas

(Away)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju981026:325
2Atletico Gloriense971122:222
3Olimpico EC971122:522
4Frei Paulistano951320:916
5Caninde941414:2013
6America de Pedrinhas93249:1511
7Atletico Central92167:177
8Flamengo SE92078:166
9Independente SE91266:235
10Boca Junior91084:280
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