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Desportiva Aracaju vs America de Pedrinhas

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 game between Desportiva Aracaju and America de Pedrinhas finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Aracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Desportiva Aracaju
20%
Draws
19%
America de Pedrinhas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Desportiva Aracaju are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 20%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju America de Pedrinhas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs America de Pedrinhas
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju 85 / 100
America de Pedrinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju America de Pedrinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Aracaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Desportiva Aracaju stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Desportiva Aracaju scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

America de Pedrinhas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Aracaju VS America de Pedrinhas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Aracaju

(Home)
30 Aug
Falcon
0 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju
23 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 0
Falcon
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
Page 1 of 6

America de Pedrinhas

(Away)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 9 8 1 0 26:3 25
2 Atletico Gloriense 9 7 1 1 22:2 22
3 Olimpico EC 9 7 1 1 22:5 22
4 Frei Paulistano 9 5 1 3 20:9 16
5 Caninde 9 4 1 4 14:20 13
6 America de Pedrinhas 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
7 Atletico Central 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
8 Flamengo SE 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Independente SE 9 1 2 6 6:23 5
10 Boca Junior 9 1 0 8 4:28 0
Promotion - Sergipano (Main)