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Desportiva Aracaju vs Caninde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Aracaju in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Aracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Desportiva Aracaju
15%
Draws
35%
Caninde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Desportiva Aracaju lately — more wins on the board than Caninde.
  • Win probability leans Desportiva Aracaju's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 13%
Caninde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Caninde
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2025 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Caninde
4:0
Oct 19, 2024 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Caninde
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju 75 / 100
Caninde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju Caninde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Aracaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Desportiva Aracaju has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Desportiva Aracaju scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Caninde conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Aracaju VS Caninde
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Aracaju

(Home)
30 Aug
Falcon
0 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju
23 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 0
Falcon
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
Page 1 of 6

Caninde

(Away)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 5 4 1 0 14:2 13
2 America de Pedrinhas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
3 Desportiva Aracaju 5 4 0 1 16:5 12
4 Frei Paulistano 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
5 Flamengo SE 5 0 1 4 3:16 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra SE 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
2 Atletico Central 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
3 Independente SE 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
4 Boca Junior 5 1 1 3 7:12 4
5 Caninde 5 1 0 4 8:20 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)