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Desportiva Aracaju vs Socorrense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Desportiva Aracaju and Socorrense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Aracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Desportiva Aracaju
6%
Draws
90%
Socorrense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Socorrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Socorrense.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Socorrense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Sergipano 2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 10%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Socorrense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.63 2.83
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Socorrense
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Sergipano 2
Socorrense vs Desportiva Aracaju
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju 10 / 100
Socorrense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju Socorrense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Aracaju scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Socorrense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Desportiva Aracaju went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Socorrense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Aracaju VS Socorrense
1.63 Goals Scored 2.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SE870113:121
2Atletico Central860217:718
3Aracaju FC850314:1015
4CS Maruinense81165:134
5Socorro80171:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju871016:422
2Barra SE861119:419
3Santa Cruz SE830512:159
4Cotinguiba81167:144
5Socorrense81161:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Pedrinhas860220:918
2Independente SE834112:1113
3Riachao833211:712
4Amadense831415:1810
5AD Boquinhense80265:182
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Frei Paulistano861121:319
2Boca Junior851214:816
3Estanciano EC831411:1210
4Sete de Junho82156:157
5Botafogo ASF81253:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE861123:619
2Caninde851214:1016
3Forca Jovem Aquidaba840416:1012
4Propria823311:149
5Coritiba SE80176:301