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Desportiva Aracaju W vs Confianca W

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Aracaju W play Confianca W in the Sergipano Women. Confianca W are favorites here. Recently, Desportiva Aracaju W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Confianca W averaged 5.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Desportiva Aracaju W won 0, Confianca W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Desportiva Aracaju W and 2.25 for Confianca W. This points to a Confianca W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Desportiva Aracaju W
15%
Draws
59%
Confianca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Confianca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju W picked up more points recently compared to Confianca W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Desportiva Aracaju W Clean Sheet 10%
Confianca W Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju W Confianca W
Matches Played 6 15
Wins 2 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.33 5.13
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Sergipano Women
Desportiva Aracaju W vs Confianca W
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju W 25 / 100
Confianca W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju W Confianca W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Confianca W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Confianca W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Desportiva Aracaju W attacking → ← attacking Confianca W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Aracaju W scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Confianca W let in goals in 40% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Desportiva Aracaju W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Confianca W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 28
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Confianca W651055:216
2Juventude W651050:016
3Estanciano EC W640224:1512
4Lagarto W621311:277
5Desportiva Aracaju W62048:216
6Olimpico EC W61146:614
7Atletico Central W60060:280
8Socorro W00000:00
9Amadense W00000:00
10Forca Jovem Aquidaba W00000:00