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Desportiva Aracaju W vs Olimpico EC W

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Sergipano Women
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AI Match Summary

Desportiva Aracaju W in this Sergipano Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Aracaju W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportiva Aracaju W
6%
Draws
4%
Olimpico EC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju W have won more games recently than Olimpico EC W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Desportiva Aracaju W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Desportiva Aracaju W Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpico EC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju W Olimpico EC W
Matches Played 6 6
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 1
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 7.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 7.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Sergipano Women
Desportiva Aracaju W vs Olimpico EC W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju W 85 / 100
Olimpico EC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju W Olimpico EC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpico EC W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Olimpico EC W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Aracaju W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Aracaju W VS Olimpico EC W
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 7.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Confianca W651055:216
2Juventude W651050:016
3Estanciano EC W640224:1512
4Lagarto W621311:277
5Desportiva Aracaju W62048:216
6Olimpico EC W61146:614
7Atletico Central W60060:280
8Socorro W00000:00
9Amadense W00000:00
10Forca Jovem Aquidaba W00000:00