Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009

Desportiva Ferroviaria

3 - 0

GEL

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Desportiva Ferroviaria

Draws

GEL

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Desportiva Ferroviaria lately — more wins on the board than GEL.
Model gives Desportiva Ferroviaria a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%

GEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Desportiva Ferroviaria	GEL
Matches Played	40	28
Wins	15	4
Draws	9	4
Losses	16	20
Goals Scored	1.13	0.17
Goals Conceded	1.5	3.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2009 Capixaba

Desportiva Ferroviaria vs GEL

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Feb 21, 2009 Capixaba

GEL vs Desportiva Ferroviaria

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 85 / 100

GEL 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Desportiva Ferroviaria GEL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GEL has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Desportiva Ferroviaria scored in 73% of their last 40 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Desportiva Ferroviaria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS GEL

1.13 Goals Scored 0.17

1.5 Goals Conceded 3.5

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SAO Mateus	18	11	3	4	28:21	36
2	Rio Branco ES	18	8	7	3	35:21	31
3	Jaguare	18	9	3	6	30:25	30
4	Vilavelhense	18	8	4	6	29:27	28
5	Linhares Futebol Clube	18	8	3	7	18:19	27
6	Desportiva Ferroviaria	18	6	4	8	26:24	22
7	Rio Bananal FC	18	6	3	9	22:26	21
8	GEL	18	6	2	10	24:33	20
9	Serra	18	5	4	9	32:39	19
10	Colatinense	18	5	3	10	25:34	18