Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo 2025 Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cassio

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria in this Copa Espirito Santo 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
28%
Draws
50%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Porto Vitoria have won more games recently than Desportiva Ferroviaria.
  • Porto Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Porto Vitoria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Desportiva Ferroviaria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 16%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Porto Vitoria
0:0
Jul 29, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
3:1
Jul 22, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Porto Vitoria
1:0
Jun 18, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Porto Vitoria
2:1
Feb 13, 2025 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportiva Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Porto Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 23 / 100
Porto Vitoria 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Porto Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Porto Vitoria conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS Porto Vitoria
0 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

Porto Vitoria

(Away)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vitoria ES4
Vilavelhense1
Real Noroeste3
Capixaba SC2
Porto Vitoria5
Serra1
Desportiva Ferroviaria2
Rio Branco-VN0
Semi-finals
Vitoria ES2
Real Noroeste0
Porto Vitoria3
Desportiva Ferroviaria2
Final
Vitoria ES3
Porto Vitoria1