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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Yan de Jesus
46'
Sub
Ronaldo In: Nascimento T.
Out: Ronaldo
46'
Sub
Carlos Augusto In: Gregorio P.
Out: Carlos Augusto

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
33%
Draws
40%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Rio Branco ES.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco ES taking it.
  • Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Rio Branco ES
1:1
May 13, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Rio Branco ES
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Rio Branco ES
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportiva Ferroviaria Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Rio Branco ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Breninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 28 / 100
Rio Branco ES 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Rio Branco ES's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Desportiva Ferroviaria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rio Branco ES
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
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Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria ES962114:420
2Serra942310:614
3Vilavelhense94148:1013
4Rio Branco ES934210:613
5Porto Vitoria93427:513
6Desportiva Ferroviaria932410:1111
7Real Noroeste93249:1311
8Forte92525:411
9Capixaba SC93156:1310
10Rio Branco-VN90548:155
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)