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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Santos

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Pedro Botelho
10'
Sub
Vitinho In: Cassio
Out: Vitinho
20' Event
Neymar
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Desportiva Ferroviaria and Santos finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22%
Draws
60%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos's 1 goals per match outpaces what Desportiva Ferroviaria have produced (0).
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Santos taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 22%
Santos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Santos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Santos
1:3
May 15, 1980 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:0
Apr 26, 1978 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
Oct 3, 1976 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:0
Aug 27, 1975 Serie A Betano
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Santos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportiva Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Pituca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 21 / 100
Santos 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Santos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Santos let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santos
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%