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Desportiva Guarabira vs Sao Paulo Crystal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Guarabira in this Paraibano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Guarabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Desportiva Guarabira
28%
Draws
50%
Sao Paulo Crystal
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Paulo Crystal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Desportiva Guarabira lately — more wins on the board than Sao Paulo Crystal.
  • Model gives Sao Paulo Crystal a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Paulo Crystal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Guarabira Sao Paulo Crystal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Sao Paulo Crystal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Guarabira 23 / 100
Sao Paulo Crystal 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Guarabira Sao Paulo Crystal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Desportiva Guarabira scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Sao Paulo Crystal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Desportiva Guarabira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Guarabira VS Sao Paulo Crystal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Guarabira

(Home)
05 Oct
Atletico Cajazeirense
3 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
29 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
2 : 2
Atletico Cajazeirense
25 Sept
Miramar EC
1 : 4
Desportiva Guarabira
21 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 1
Desportiva Guarabira
17 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 0
Confianca PB
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Sao Paulo Crystal

(Away)
24 Sept
Confianca PB
1 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
21 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Atletico Cajazeirense
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
14 Sept
Spartax
0 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
11 Sept
Sabugy
2 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Cajazeirense961223:1019
2Cruzeiro-PB952215:1317
3Confianca PB944113:716
4Miramar EC943220:815
5Desportiva Guarabira943214:1115
6Sao Paulo Crystal942315:814
7Serrano PB932415:1511
8Spartax922515:238
9Queimadense92169:197
10Sabugy91086:313
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)