Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2025

Desportivo de Nacala

0 - 0

Costa do Sol

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2025 game between Desportivo de Nacala and Costa do Sol finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Desportivo de Nacala

40%

Draws

29%

Costa do Sol

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Costa do Sol carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Mocambola 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Desportivo de Nacala Clean Sheet 20%

Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Desportivo de Nacala	Costa do Sol
Matches Played	25	26
Wins	2	8
Draws	8	12
Losses	15	6
Goals Scored	0.33	1
Goals Conceded	0.83	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.33	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.83	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2025 Mocambola

Costa do Sol vs Desportivo de Nacala

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Aug 31, 2025 Mocambola

Desportivo de Nacala vs Costa do Sol

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Aug 31, 2024 Mocambola

Costa do Sol vs Desportivo de Nacala

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

May 12, 2024 Mocambola

Desportivo de Nacala vs Costa do Sol

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Oct 30, 2019 Mocambola

Desportivo de Nacala vs Costa do Sol

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo de Nacala 32 / 100

Costa do Sol 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Desportivo de Nacala Costa do Sol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo de Nacala's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Costa do Sol has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Desportivo de Nacala stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo de Nacala VS Costa do Sol

0.33 Goals Scored 1

0.83 Goals Conceded 0.88

33% Over 1.5 50%

33% Over 2.5 50%

17% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	22	18	3	1	50:13	57
2	Associacao Black Bulls	23	11	6	6	35:26	39
3	Ferroviario Beira	23	10	7	6	19:13	37
4	Ferroviario Lichinga	22	9	7	6	38:31	34
5	Ferroviario Maputo	23	7	12	4	25:18	33
6	Baia de Pemba	22	9	5	8	24:21	32
7	ENH Vilankulo	24	7	10	7	22:21	31
8	Costa do Sol	23	7	10	6	18:18	31
9	Ferroviario Nacala	23	8	7	8	16:17	31
10	Chingale de Tete	22	6	9	7	22:21	27
11	Ferroviario Nampula	22	6	8	8	21:29	26
12	Textafrica	23	4	8	11	15:30	20
13	Desportivo de Nacala	20	2	6	12	13:31	12
14	Desportivo Matola	22	2	4	16	11:40	10