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Desportivo Maputo vs Costa do Sol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Costa do Sol in this Mocambola 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa do Sol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Desportivo Maputo
20%
Draws
69%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Desportivo Maputo haven't matched Costa do Sol's recent run of results.
  • Costa do Sol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Costa do Sol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Maputo Costa do Sol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Costa do Sol
0:1
May 29, 2021 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Desportivo Maputo
2:0
Sep 29, 2019 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Jun 20, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Costa do Sol
2:1
Jul 23, 2016 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Maputo 10 / 100
Costa do Sol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Maputo Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Desportivo Maputo scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Costa do Sol let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Desportivo Maputo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Costa do Sol
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Maputo

(Home)
07 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 1
Desportivo Maputo
30 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
23 Oct
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
16 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
03 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
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Costa do Sol

(Away)
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
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