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Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Desportivo Maputo
30%
Draws
54%
Ferroviario Beira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Beira have won more games recently than Desportivo Maputo.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviario Beira's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ferroviario Beira have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 21%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Beira
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.73 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
Jun 20, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Aug 26, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2
May 8, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Jul 26, 2016 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Maputo 29 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Beira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Beira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Desportivo Maputo scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Beira conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Desportivo Maputo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Beira
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Maputo

(Home)
07 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 1
Desportivo Maputo
30 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
23 Oct
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
16 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
03 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
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Ferroviario Beira

(Away)
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
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