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Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Desportivo Maputo
11%
Draws
80%
Ferroviario Beira
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviario Beira have won more games recently than Desportivo Maputo.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviario Beira's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ferroviario Beira have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 24%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Beira
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
Jun 20, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Aug 26, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2
May 8, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Jul 26, 2016 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Maputo 13 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Beira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Desportivo Maputo scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Beira conceded in 33% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Desportivo Maputo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Beira
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%