Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Desportivo Maputo
30%
Draws
54%
Ferroviario Nampula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario Nampula lately — more wins on the board than Desportivo Maputo.
  • Model gives Desportivo Maputo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Nampula
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 5 18
Draws 9 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:1
Jul 24, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Desportivo Maputo
0:1
Nov 3, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:0
Jul 14, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Desportivo Maputo
0:2
Oct 23, 2016 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Maputo 36 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Nampula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Nampula conceded in 60% of 40 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Desportivo Maputo scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Desportivo Maputo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Nampula
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Maputo

(Home)
07 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 1
Desportivo Maputo
30 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
23 Oct
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
16 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
03 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario Nampula

(Away)
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 8