Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportivo Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2021 game between Desportivo Maputo and Incomati Xinavane finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Desportivo Maputo
35%
Draws
49%
Incomati Xinavane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Incomati Xinavane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Incomati Xinavane come out ahead of Desportivo Maputo on wins alone.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 28%
Incomati Xinavane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Maputo Incomati Xinavane
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.73 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Jun 26, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
1:1
Aug 20, 2019 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Desportivo Maputo
1:1
May 3, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
0:0
Nov 4, 2012 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Maputo 34 / 100
Incomati Xinavane 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Maputo Incomati Xinavane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Incomati Xinavane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo Maputo's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Incomati Xinavane let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Solid form: Desportivo Maputo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Incomati Xinavane
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Maputo

(Home)
07 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 1
Desportivo Maputo
30 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
23 Oct
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
16 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
03 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
Page 1 of 6

Incomati Xinavane

(Away)
04 Dec
Incomati Xinavane
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
27 Nov
UD Songo
0 : 0
Incomati Xinavane
20 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
13 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
3 : 1
Incomati Xinavane
06 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 7