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Desportivo Moncao vs Camacha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Fernandes F.
60' Event
Belo A.
87' Event
Martins D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Desportivo Moncao and Camacha finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportivo Moncao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Desportivo Moncao
15%
Draws
85%
Camacha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Camacha come out ahead of Desportivo Moncao on wins alone.
  • Camacha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Desportivo Moncao Clean Sheet 10%
Camacha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Moncao Camacha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs Camacha
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Desportivo Moncao
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Moncao Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Belo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Moncao 10 / 100
Camacha 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Moncao Camacha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Desportivo Moncao scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Camacha let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Camacha registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo Moncao VS Camacha
1.17 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Moncao

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
Desportivo Moncao
0 : 5
SC Vianense
04 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Desportivo Moncao
22 Mar
Desportivo Moncao
1 : 4
Chaves B
15 Mar
AD Limianos
4 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
Page 1 of 6

Camacha

(Away)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)