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Desportivo Moncao vs Celoricense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Alves D.
54' Event
Mendes C.

AI Match Summary

Celoricense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celoricense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Desportivo Moncao
15%
Draws
85%
Celoricense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celoricense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Celoricense have won more games recently than Desportivo Moncao.
  • Celoricense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Desportivo Moncao Clean Sheet 13%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Moncao Celoricense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs Celoricense
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Desportivo Moncao
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Moncao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.41

Celoricense Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendes C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Moncao 14 / 100
Celoricense 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Moncao Celoricense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celoricense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Desportivo Moncao scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Celoricense let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Celoricense registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo Moncao VS Celoricense
1.14 Goals Scored 0.5
2.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 25%
86% Over 2.5 25%
71% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Moncao

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
Desportivo Moncao
0 : 5
SC Vianense
04 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Desportivo Moncao
22 Mar
Desportivo Moncao
1 : 4
Chaves B
15 Mar
AD Limianos
4 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
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Celoricense

(Away)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)