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Desportivo Moncao vs Merelinense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Desportivo Moncao Logo

Desportivo Moncao

2 - 2
FT
Merelinense Logo

Merelinense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 game between Desportivo Moncao and Merelinense finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Desportivo Moncao
15%
Draws
85%
Merelinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merelinense come out ahead of Desportivo Moncao on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Merelinense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Desportivo Moncao Clean Sheet 16%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Moncao Merelinense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Desportivo Moncao
2:1
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs Merelinense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Moncao 10 / 100
Merelinense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Moncao Merelinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Desportivo Moncao scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Merelinense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Merelinense registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo Moncao VS Merelinense
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Moncao

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
Desportivo Moncao
0 : 5
SC Vianense
04 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Desportivo Moncao
22 Mar
Desportivo Moncao
1 : 4
Chaves B
15 Mar
AD Limianos
4 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
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Merelinense

(Away)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)