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Desportivo Moncao vs SC Vianense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportivo Moncao play SC Vianense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Desportivo Moncao averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. SC Vianense averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Desportivo Moncao won 0, SC Vianense won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Desportivo Moncao and 2.69 for SC Vianense. This points to a SC Vianense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Desportivo Moncao
28%
Draws
54%
SC Vianense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SC Vianense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportivo Moncao picked up more points recently compared to SC Vianense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Desportivo Moncao Clean Sheet 10%
SC Vianense Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Moncao SC Vianense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs SC Vianense
0:5
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vianense vs Desportivo Moncao
1:1
Feb 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs SC Vianense
0:0
Oct 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vianense vs Desportivo Moncao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Moncao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SC Vianense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Faria J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Moncao 18 / 100
SC Vianense 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Moncao SC Vianense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vianense Win (2)
Secondary Pick SC Vianense & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Desportivo Moncao attacking → ← attacking SC Vianense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo Moncao scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

SC Vianense let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Desportivo Moncao went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

SC Vianense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 56
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317