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Desportivo Praia vs SC Atletico

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Campeonato Nacional 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2016 game between Desportivo Praia and SC Atletico finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportivo Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportivo Praia
6%
Draws
4%
SC Atletico
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportivo Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Atletico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Desportivo Praia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Desportivo Praia Clean Sheet 20%
SC Atletico Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Praia SC Atletico
Matches Played 12 25
Wins 7 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.4 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Desportivo Praia vs SC Atletico
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Praia 85 / 100
SC Atletico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Praia SC Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Atletico has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Desportivo Praia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Desportivo Praia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo Praia VS SC Atletico
1.4 Goals Scored 0.63
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 38%
80% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Derby54108:213
2GD Varandinha53119:410
3Desportivo Praia52127:67
4Sporting da Brava52036:76
5SC Atletico51135:104
6Sinagoga50234:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense532011:311
2Academica Porto Novo53206:111
3Academico do Sal52124:47
4Academico 8351225:85
5Sport Sal-Rei51138:114
6Vulcanico51042:93